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Aerospace

IBA estimates business jet fleet growth over 55% by 2025

The International Bureau of Aviation's (IBA) latest Business Jet Asset Report 2013 forecasts that global jet fleets will grow by more than 55% by 2025.

The 2013 IBA Business Jet Asset Report focuses on business jet aircraft and provides insight and intelligence on market value trends and key product developments as well as important considerations in protecting aircraft value.

Highlights of this year’s report forecast how business jet fleets will grow to a total of nearly 31,000 aircraft by 2025, an increase of 11,000 jets. Much of the new growth is expected to come from new deliveries, implying many business jet models have a solid future ahead of them.

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ISTAT Appraiser, IBA senior analyst and report author, Jonathan McDonald, said: “Current production models offering a more robust investment potential include the super mid-size Bombardier Challenger 300 as well as the Gulfstream G280, both using modern Honeywell engines.  
"In contrast, IBA advises caution around the Hawker 4000 which could face product support issues due to the Hawker Beechcraft bankruptcy.”

During the period 2005 - 2010 the Very Light Jet (VLJ) sector saw a period of spectacular growth on products such as the Eclipse EA500, Embraer Phenom 100 and Cessna Citation Mustang.  Despite these entry level aircraft faring poorly during the recent economic downturn, IBA’s expert opinion predicts this sector will show significant growth by 2025.  

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Dr. Stuart Hatcher, head of valuations and risk for IBA, said: “We regularly view the Boeing 737 and Airbus A320 as popular and robust investment opportunities in today’s market; their business jet variants are the pinnacle of the industry alongside the long range Gulfstream and Bombardier jets. These long range, intercontinental aircraft are predicted to be strong performers as the market continues to expand globally and we expect to see the MAX and Neo based business jets do well later this decade.”

Dr Hatcher said: “IBA’s current Aircraft Ratings Investment Guide is a popular tool for Commercial Aircraft. Based on the demand for this to be made available for business jets, we expect the Business Jet Asset Report to be equally popular.”
 

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